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The 20 millionth BTC milestone is a genuine inflection point that gets underplayed. At 95.2% of the total supply mined, the remaining 4.8% will take roughly 120 more years to release due to the halving schedule, which means the fee market has to do increasingly more of the work that block subsidies currently do for miner revenue. A single mining cost exceeding $80k when BTC is trading near or below that level is not a sustainable dynamic for mid-tier miners without access to sub-3 cent electricity. The market is effectively bifurcating into large institutional miners with cheap energy contracts who can weather compressed margins, and everyone else who cannot. The AI-GPU mining angle is worth watching carefully because if GPU-based AI compute and crypto mining start competing for the same hardware and electricity infrastructure, the cost curves for both get distorted in ways that are hard to model right now.

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